#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Polymarket traders put "Vinted" at 39.0% on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?". Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 4.

Most likely right now
Vinted
19.539%
TechVol $140Total volume $228Liquidity $563in 4 days (Sep 4)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vinted
39.0%
19.5
Claude by Anthropic
7.50%
12.0
Threads
1.70%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.