Bitcoin above ___ on November 18?

Polymarket traders put "64,000" at 98.6% on "Bitcoin above ___ on November 18?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 18.

Most likely right now
64,000
–99%
CryptoVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $272Kin 7 days (Nov 18)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
64,000
98.6%
–
66,000
97.1%
–
68,000
95.5%
–
70,000
88.0%
–
72,000
72.5%
–
76,000
28.0%
–
78,000
13.0%
–
80,000
5.00%
–
82,000
2.70%
–
84,000
1.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.