What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↑ 90,000" at 63.0% on "What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $271K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↑ 90,000
▲4.063%
CryptoVol $271KTotal volume $74.5MLiquidity $4.4Min 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ 90,000
63.0%
▲4.0
↑ 95,000
40.5%
▲1.0
↓ 70,000
36.5%
▼3.5
↑ 100,000
27.5%
▲1.0
↓ 65,000
20.5%
▼3.0
↓ 60,000
14.5%
▼1.0
↑ 110,000
11.5%
–
↓ 55,000
9.50%
▼1.0
↓ 50,000
7.50%
▼0.5
↑ 120,000
6.00%
▼1.5
↑ 130,000
4.40%
–
↓ 45,000
4.40%
▲0.9
↓ 40,000
3.60%
–
↑ 140,000
2.95%
–
↑ 150,000
2.75%
–
↑ 160,000
2.05%
–
↓ 35,000
1.95%
▲0.6
↓ 30,000
1.55%
–
↑ 170,000
1.45%
–
↑ 180,000
1.35%
–
↓ 20,000
1.05%
–
↓ 25,000
0.85%
–
↑ 190,000
0.75%
–
↑ 200,000
0.70%
–
↓ 15,000
0.65%
–
↓ 5,000
0.55%
–
↓ 10,000
0.50%
–
↑ 250,000
0.45%
–
↑ 500,000
0.45%
–
↑ 1,000,000
0.25%
–
Probability over time
↑ 90,000
↑ 95,000
↓ 70,000
↑ 100,000
↓ 65,000
↓ 60,000
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
