Bitcoin above ___ on October 10, 8PM ET?

Polymarket traders put "81,200" at 99.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 10, 8PM ET?". $189 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 11.

Most likely right now
81,200
–100%
CryptoVol $189Total volume $144Liquidity $1.7KCloses today (Oct 11)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
81,200
99.5%
–
81,000
99.5%
–
81,600
50.0%
–
81,400
50.0%
–
83,800
2.30%
–
83,600
2.30%
–
83,400
2.30%
–
85,000
2.25%
–
84,800
2.25%
–
84,600
2.25%
–
84,400
2.25%
–
84,200
2.25%
–
84,000
2.25%
–
83,200
2.20%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.