Bitcoin above ___ on October 11?

Polymarket traders put "76,000" at 98.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 11?". $199 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 11.

Most likely right now
76,000
–99%
CryptoVol $199Total volume $199Liquidity $181Kin 7 days (Oct 11)
Current probability

Oct 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
76,000
98.5%
–
78,000
96.8%
–
80,000
95.5%
–
82,000
87.0%
–
84,000
73.0%
–
86,000
54.0%
–
88,000
35.0%
–
90,000
19.5%
–
92,000
8.50%
–
94,000
4.15%
–
96,000
1.85%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.