Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

Polymarket traders put "72,000" at 98.6% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?". $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 15.

Most likely right now
72,000
–99%
CryptoVol $3.1KTotal volume $3.0KLiquidity $155Kin 7 days (Oct 15)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
72,000
98.6%
–
74,000
96.9%
–
76,000
93.0%
–
78,000
84.5%
–
80,000
69.0%
–
82,000
46.0%
–
84,000
27.5%
–
86,000
14.0%
–
88,000
5.50%
–
90,000
2.50%
–
92,000
1.45%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.