Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?". $254 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 17.

Most likely right now
74,000
–98%
CryptoVol $254Total volume $254Liquidity $114Kin 7 days (Oct 17)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.0%
–
76,000
97.2%
–
78,000
94.0%
–
80,000
83.0%
–
82,000
64.0%
–
84,000
37.0%
–
86,000
17.0%
–
88,000
6.00%
–
90,000
3.00%
–
92,000
2.05%
–
94,000
1.95%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.