Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

Polymarket traders put "72,000" at 96.7% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?". $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 21.

Most likely right now
72,000
–97%
CryptoVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $55Kin 7 days (Oct 21)
Current probability

Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
72,000
96.7%
–
74,000
95.2%
–
76,000
91.0%
–
78,000
82.5%
–
80,000
68.5%
–
82,000
46.5%
–
84,000
27.0%
–
86,000
13.5%
–
88,000
7.00%
–
90,000
3.20%
–
92,000
2.20%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.