Bitcoin above ___ on October 31?

Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 98.6% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 31?". $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
70,000
–99%
CryptoVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.3KLiquidity $138Kin 7 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
70,000
98.6%
–
72,000
98.1%
–
74,000
96.4%
–
76,000
91.0%
–
78,000
80.0%
–
80,000
60.0%
–
82,000
37.5%
–
84,000
19.5%
–
86,000
9.00%
–
88,000
3.50%
–
90,000
1.65%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.