Bitcoin above ___ on September 1?
Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 100.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 1?". Unchanged from yesterday. $614K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 1.
Most likely right now
70,000
–100%
CryptoVol $614KTotal volume $741KLiquidity $453KCloses today (Sep 1)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
70,000
100.0%
–
72,000
100.0%
▲0.5
74,000
99.7%
▲2.8
76,000
98.2%
▲9.7
78,000
83.5%
▲32.5
80,000
13.5%
▲2.0
82,000
1.35%
▼1.4
84,000
0.05%
▼0.8
86,000
0.05%
–
88,000
0.05%
–
90,000
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
