Bitcoin above ___ on September 2?
Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 99.7% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 2?". Unchanged from yesterday. $129K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 2.
Most likely right now
70,000
–100%
CryptoVol $129KTotal volume $205KLiquidity $338KCloses tomorrow (Sep 2)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
70,000
99.7%
–
68,000
99.6%
–
72,000
99.6%
▲1.2
74,000
99.0%
▲3.4
76,000
94.5%
▲12.0
78,000
71.0%
▲21.5
80,000
24.5%
▲6.0
82,000
5.10%
▲0.6
84,000
1.00%
–
86,000
0.35%
▼0.6
88,000
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
