Bitcoin above ___ on September 16?

Polymarket traders put "68,000" at 98.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 16?". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 16.

Most likely right now
68,000
98%
CryptoVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $53Kin 7 days (Sep 16)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
68,000
98.0%
70,000
96.0%
72,000
92.5%
74,000
85.9%
76,000
72.0%
78,000
53.0%
80,000
34.0%
82,000
19.5%
84,000
10.5%
86,000
5.50%
88,000
3.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.