Bitcoin above ___ on September 25?

Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 98.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 25?". $735 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 25.

Most likely right now
70,000
99%
CryptoVol $735Total volume $735Liquidity $190Kin 7 days (Sep 25)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
70,000
98.5%
72,000
98.3%
74,000
97.0%
76,000
93.0%
78,000
82.0%
80,000
60.0%
82,000
37.0%
84,000
18.0%
86,000
8.00%
88,000
4.50%
90,000
2.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.