Bitcoin above ___ on September 30?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 30?". $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
74,000
98%
CryptoVol $100Total volume $100Liquidity $53Kin 7 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.0%
76,000
96.8%
78,000
94.5%
80,000
87.0%
82,000
76.0%
84,000
56.0%
86,000
34.0%
88,000
17.0%
90,000
7.50%
92,000
3.85%
94,000
2.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.