Bitcoin price on October 4?

Polymarket traders put "82,000-84,000" at 23.5% on "Bitcoin price on October 4?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $4.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
82,000-84,000
▲2.024%
CryptoVol $4.8KTotal volume $4.8KLiquidity $86Kin 5 days (Oct 4)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
82,000-84,000
23.5%
▲2.0
84,000-86,000
21.0%
▲0.5
80,000-82,000
16.0%
▲1.0
86,000-88,000
14.0%
▼2.0
78,000-80,000
10.5%
▲3.0
88,000-90,000
6.50%
▼2.5
76,000-78,000
3.05%
–
90,000-92,000
2.55%
▼1.9
92,000-94,000
2.00%
▼0.7
<76,000
1.70%
▼0.7
>94,000
0.60%
▼1.7

Probability over time

82,000-84,000
84,000-86,000
80,000-82,000
86,000-88,000
78,000-80,000
88,000-90,000
02550751009/289/29
2026-09-28 ~ 2026-09-29 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.