Bitcoin price on October 5?

Polymarket traders put "82,000-84,000" at 21.5% on "Bitcoin price on October 5?". $3.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
82,000-84,000
–22%
CryptoVol $3.5KTotal volume $3.5KLiquidity $79Kin 6 days (Oct 5)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
82,000-84,000
21.5%
–
84,000-86,000
19.5%
–
80,000-82,000
18.0%
–
86,000-88,000
13.0%
–
78,000-80,000
10.5%
–
88,000-90,000
7.00%
–
76,000-78,000
4.45%
–
90,000-92,000
3.90%
–
74,000-76,000
2.45%
–
>92,000
2.40%
–
<74,000
1.75%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.