Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 67.5% on "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes.

Most likely right now
October 31
6.068%
TechVol -Total volume $4.7KLiquidity $736
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
67.5%
6.0
December 31
62.5%
7.5
August 30
17.0%
4.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.