Fed Decision in January?

Most likely right now
No change
61%
EconomyVol $1.4KTotal volume $54KLiquidity $308Kin 5 months (Jan 27)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
60.5%
25 bps increase
22.0%
0.5
25 bps decrease
14.5%
0.5
50+ bps decrease
4.65%
50+ bps increase
2.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.