Fed Decision in January?
Polymarket traders put "No change" at 64.5% on "Fed Decision in January?". $7.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 28.
Most likely right now
No change
–65%
EconomyVol $7.0KTotal volume $285KLiquidity $500Kin 4 months (Jan 28)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No change
64.5%
–
25 bps increase
31.5%
–
25 bps decrease
2.35%
▲0.9
50+ bps increase
1.45%
–
50+ bps decrease
0.75%
–
Probability over time
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
