Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 89.0% on "Grok (Web) Outage by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
0.589%
TechVol -Total volume $3.9KLiquidity $1.9Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
89.0%
0.5
October 31
47.5%
0.5

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.