How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "1250+" at 86.0% on "How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 10.
Most likely right now
1250+
▼2.086%
TechVol -Total volume $82KLiquidity $12KComments 2in 5 months (Jan 10)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1250+
86.0%
▼2.0
1200–1249
7.65%
▲1.7
1150–1199
6.80%
▲1.8
<950
3.40%
▲2.4
1100–1149
2.80%
–
1050–1099
0.45%
–
950–999
0.25%
–
1000–1049
0.05%
–
Probability over time
1250+
1200–1249
1150–1199
<950
1100–1149
1050–1099
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
