Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?" at 7.7%. Down 0.6%p from yesterday. $12 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
▼0.68%
TechVol $12Total volume $17KLiquidity $1.2Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
7.70%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
