Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

Polymarket traders put "No release by September 30" at 35.5% on "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?". $5.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 38 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
No release by September 30
36%
TechVol $5.6KTotal volume $5.6KLiquidity $23Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No release by September 30
35.5%
August 27
28.0%
September 12
28.0%
September 1
26.5%
August 26
25.5%
August 28
24.5%
September 6
24.5%
September 29
22.5%
September 7
22.0%
September 9
22.0%
September 5
21.5%
September 11
21.0%
September 10
20.0%
September 24
20.0%
September 8
19.5%
September 25
19.5%
September 28
18.5%
August 31
18.0%
September 30
18.0%
On or prior to August 25
17.0%
September 4
10.5%
September 17
9.00%
September 26
8.00%
September 3
7.50%
September 22
7.50%
September 21
7.00%
September 15
6.50%
September 27
5.50%
September 19
5.00%
September 20
5.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.