# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

Polymarket traders put "<3" at 94.0% on "# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $430 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.

Most likely right now
<3
94%
TechVol $430Total volume $7.8KLiquidity $6.0Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<3
94.0%
3
3.25%
0.9
4
1.50%
0.9
5
1.45%
1.1
6+
0.15%

Probability over time

<3
3
4
5
6+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.