OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Polymarket traders put "40%+" at 94.0% on "OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?". Unchanged from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
40%+
–94%
TechVol $1.8KTotal volume $6.5KLiquidity $1.7Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
40%+
94.0%
–
50%+
64.0%
▲9.5
60%+
12.0%
▲4.6
Probability over time
40%+
50%+
60%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
