OpenAI's Astra released on...?
Polymarket traders put "September 3" at 38.0% on "OpenAI's Astra released on...?". $17K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
September 3
–38%
TechVol $17KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $24Kin 29 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 3
38.0%
–
On or prior to September 2
30.0%
–
No release by September 30
14.5%
–
September 13
4.50%
–
September 7
3.50%
–
September 8
3.50%
–
September 25
3.50%
–
September 28
3.50%
–
September 16
2.85%
–
September 21
2.80%
–
September 23
2.60%
–
September 4
2.50%
–
September 6
2.45%
–
September 9
2.45%
–
September 26
2.45%
–
September 30
2.45%
–
September 5
2.40%
–
September 10
1.95%
–
September 17
1.95%
–
September 29
1.95%
–
September 12
1.90%
–
September 22
1.90%
–
September 19
1.85%
–
September 20
1.85%
–
September 24
1.70%
–
September 27
1.05%
–
September 18
0.60%
–
September 11
0.55%
–
September 14
0.55%
–
September 15
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
