Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
Polymarket traders put "<425mm" at 86.5% on "Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $61 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 1.
Most likely right now
<425mm
▲1.587%
TechVol $61Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $8.2Kin 5 days (Sep 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<425mm
86.5%
▲1.5
475-500mm
9.80%
▲3.1
425-450mm
8.00%
▲2.0
450-475mm
6.20%
–
700mm+
4.55%
–
650-700mm
3.55%
▼1.0
500-525mm
3.10%
▼3.5
550-600mm
2.95%
–
525-550mm
0.80%
▼4.6
600-650mm
0.70%
▼3.0
Probability over time
<425mm
475-500mm
425-450mm
450-475mm
700mm+
650-700mm
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
