Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

Polymarket traders put "<275mm" at 45.0% on "Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?". $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
<275mm
45%
TechVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.0KLiquidity $4.9Kin 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<275mm
45.0%
275-300mm
15.0%
450-500mm
10.5%
325-350mm
9.00%
500-550mm
8.50%
400-450mm
7.00%
300-325mm
6.50%
350-375mm
6.50%
375-400mm
6.50%
550mm+
4.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.