Precipitation in NYC in September?

Polymarket traders put ">6"" at 24.5% on "Precipitation in NYC in September?". $721 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 2.

Most likely right now
>6"
25%
TechVol $721Total volume $721Liquidity $2.1Kin 1 months (Oct 2)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
>6"
24.5%
3-4"
19.5%
2-3"
19.0%
4-5"
19.0%
5-6"
14.0%
<2"
12.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.