Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 95.0% on "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?". $348 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
Google
–95%
TechVol $348Total volume $81KLiquidity $31Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
95.0%
–
Anthropic
2.30%
▲0.7
OpenAI
1.50%
–
Alibaba
1.25%
–
Meta
0.50%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
ByteDance
0.35%
–
SpaceXAI
0.05%
–
Baidu
0.05%
–
Z.ai
0.05%
–
Xiaomi
0.05%
–
Moonshot
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Google
Anthropic
OpenAI
Alibaba
Meta
DeepSeek
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
