September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
Polymarket traders put "2nd hottest" at 55.0% on "September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
2nd hottest
▼3.555%
TechVol $1Total volume $525Liquidity $507in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
2nd hottest
55.0%
▼3.5
1st hottest
35.5%
▼0.5
3rd hottest
29.5%
▲5.0
4th or lower
27.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
