Third-best AI Lab end of August?
Polymarket traders put "Meta" at 80.5% on "Third-best AI Lab end of August?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $833 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
Meta
▲4.081%
TechVol $833Total volume $72KLiquidity $22Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Meta
80.5%
▲4.0
Google
8.00%
▼2.5
Alibaba
5.50%
–
OpenAI
1.30%
–
Z.ai
0.60%
▼0.5
Moonshot
0.55%
–
Baidu
0.55%
–
Xiaomi
0.50%
–
Anthropic
0.45%
–
SpaceXAI
0.45%
–
Microsoft
0.30%
–
DeepSeek
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
ByteDance
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
Thinky
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Meta
Google
Alibaba
OpenAI
Z.ai
Moonshot
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
