Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Polymarket traders put "Alibaba" at 82.0% on "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
Alibaba
▼6.582%
TechVol $1.6KTotal volume $64KLiquidity $18Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alibaba
82.0%
▼6.5
Google
4.55%
▲2.4
OpenAI
1.00%
–
Moonshot
0.85%
–
Meta
0.45%
▼0.5
Z.ai
0.30%
–
Anthropic
0.05%
–
SpaceXAI
0.05%
–
Baidu
0.05%
–
Xiaomi
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
DeepSeek
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
Bytedance
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Alibaba
Google
OpenAI
Moonshot
Meta
Z.ai
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
