Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Polymarket traders put ">$2.5B" at 98.3% on "Total crypto hack value in 2026?". $353 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
>$2.5B
–98%
CryptoVol $353Total volume $92KLiquidity $1.2KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
>$2.5B
98.3%
–
>$3B
67.0%
▲7.0
>$3.5B
12.1%
▲2.2
>$4B
7.80%
▲0.7

Probability over time

>$2.5B
>$3B
>$3.5B
>$4B
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.