What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

Polymarket traders put "↓ 77,500" at 88.1% on "What price will Bitcoin hit in November?". $475K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
↓ 77,500
–88%
CryptoVol $475KTotal volume $469KLiquidity $1.1Min 29 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ 77,500
88.1%
–
↑ 80,000
79.5%
–
↓ 75,000
66.5%
–
↑ 82,500
59.5%
–
↓ 72,500
46.5%
–
↑ 85,000
42.5%
–
↓ 70,000
30.5%
–
↑ 87,500
27.5%
–
↓ 67,500
18.5%
–
↑ 90,000
16.5%
–
↓ 65,000
11.5%
–
↑ 92,500
9.50%
–
↓ 62,500
7.50%
–
↑ 95,000
6.50%
–
↓ 60,000
4.50%
–
↑ 97,500
4.25%
–
↓ 57,500
3.25%
–
↑ 100,000
2.75%
–
↓ 55,000
2.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.