What price will Bitcoin hit on November 2?

Polymarket traders put "↓ 78,000" at 100.0% on "What price will Bitcoin hit on November 2?". $423K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
↓ 78,000
–100%
CryptoVol $423KTotal volume $423KLiquidity $465KCloses today (Nov 3)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ 78,000
100.0%
–
↓ 77,000
100.0%
–
↓ 76,000
14.5%
–
↓ 75,000
1.95%
–
↑ 79,000
0.60%
–
↓ 74,000
0.55%
–
↓ 73,000
0.40%
–
↓ 72,000
0.25%
–
↑ 81,000
0.15%
–
↑ 80,000
0.15%
–
↑ 86,000
0.05%
–
↑ 85,000
0.05%
–
↑ 84,000
0.05%
–
↑ 83,000
0.05%
–
↑ 82,000
0.05%
–
↓ 71,000
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.