What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "$407K - $411K" at 26.0% on "What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $163 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 11.
Most likely right now
$407K - $411K
▲0.526%
EconomyVol $163Total volume $163Liquidity $654in 3 months (Jan 11)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$407K - $411K
26.0%
▲0.5
$411K - $415K
25.5%
–
$423K+
24.0%
▼1.5
$403K - $407K
18.0%
▼7.5
<$403K
15.5%
▼10.0
$415K - $419K
11.5%
▼7.0
$419K - $423K
11.5%
▼13.5
Probability over time
$407K - $411K
$411K - $415K
$423K+
$403K - $407K
<$403K
$415K - $419K
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
