Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 66.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?". $148 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–67%
TechVol $148Total volume $40KLiquidity $17Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
66.5%
–
OpenAI
33.0%
▲0.5
SpaceXAI
2.20%
–
Meta
0.60%
–
Nvidia
0.15%
–
Google
0.05%
–
Alibaba
0.05%
–
Moonshot
0.05%
–
Baidu
0.05%
–
Z.ai
0.05%
–
Xiaomi
0.05%
–
DeepSeek
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
ByteDance
0.05%
–
Thinky
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
OpenAI
SpaceXAI
Meta
Nvidia
Google
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
