Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
Polymarket traders put "September 14–20" at 42.0% on "Which week will OpenAI release Astra?". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
September 14–20
▲3.542%
TechVol -Total volume $39Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 14–20
42.0%
▲3.5
September 28–October 4
40.5%
▼1.5
September 7–13
39.5%
–
September 21–27
39.5%
▲1.0
October 5–11
38.5%
–
October 26–November 1
38.5%
▲0.5
August 31–September 6
38.0%
▲0.5
October 12–18
35.0%
▼1.5
Before August 31
31.5%
▲2.0
October 19–25
28.5%
▼10.5
Not released by November 1
26.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
