Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "1520" at 8.5% on "Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?". $409 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
1520
9%
TechVol $409Total volume $153KLiquidity $3.4Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1520
8.50%
1540
3.50%
1.0
1530
3.20%
1.3
1550
1.45%

Probability over time

1520
1540
1530
1550
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.