Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
Polymarket traders put "5-7" at 34.5% on "Will Claude go down on __ days in September?". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
5-7
▲6.035%
TechVol $140Total volume $889Liquidity $2.4Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5-7
34.5%
▲6.0
8-10
32.5%
▼5.0
11-13
28.0%
▲2.5
<5
5.90%
–
14+
5.00%
▼2.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
