ポリマーケット 経済 の確率
経済分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場547件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。
401
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
経済出来高 -4か月後
<1600.00▲1.045%
1600.00–1699.99–33%
他2件
402
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
経済出来高 -コメント 26か月後
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?▼0.97.50%
403
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
経済出来高 -コメント 51.3年後
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?–94%
404
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
経済出来高 -コメント 21.3年後
$800B▼0.583%
$1T▲0.576%
他2件
405
2nd richest person on December 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Larry Page–68%
Sergey Brin▼2.830%
他2件
406
3rd richest person on December 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Sergey Brin–45%
Jeff Bezos–35%
他2件
407
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
↑ 6.75%–84%
↓ 6.00%–45%
他2件
408
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 134か月後
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?–2.90%
409
Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 64か月後
↑ 1.20–37%
↑ 1.22–33%
他2件
410
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 34か月後
↑165–44%
↑170–26%
他2件
411
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 24か月後
↓1200–41%
↓1350▼2.538%
他2件
412
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
経済出来高 -6か月後
800–900B▲0.543%
700–800B▲1.029%
他2件
413
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
経済出来高 -コメント 710か月後
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?–6.80%
414
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
経済出来高 -6か月後
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?–90%
415
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 34か月後
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?▼1.032%
416
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
経済出来高 -コメント 64か月後
12月31日–31%
10月31日▼2.58.50%
417
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 34か月後
$8.000+▲2.557%
$7.000+▼1.547%
他2件
418
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
経済出来高 -4か月後
9月30日▼1.546%
8月31日▼6.020%
他1件
419
Ben Pasternak jailed?
経済出来高 -コメント 74か月後
Ben Pasternak jailed?▼1.43.35%
420
Japan recession in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 17か月後
Japan recession in 2026?▼2.023%
421
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 34か月後
OPEC dissolves in 2026?–4.50%
422
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
OpenAI–30%
Google–17%
他2件
423
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 14か月後
JetBlue▼0.98.20%
Frontier Airlines–7.00%
他2件
424
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
経済出来高 -1か月後
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?–13%
425
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Mint–52%
Cucumber–52%
他2件
426
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?▼0.582%
427
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?▼2.014%
428
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?–8.50%
429
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?–39%
430
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?–16%
431
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
2027年12月31日▼1.052%
2027年6月30日▼1.551%
他1件
432
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
経済出来高 -コメント 41.3年後
$OAI▲4.569%
$OPAI▼6.016%
他2件
433
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
経済出来高 -1.3年後
$40B–$50B▼1.134%
<$30B▼1.133%
他2件
434
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
経済出来高 -コメント 11.4年後
Goldman Sachs▼3.062%
Morgan Stanley▲0.528%
他2件
435
Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
↑5.5–53%
↓4.25–49%
他2件
436
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 34か月後
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?–5.20%
437
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?▲2.075%
438
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
経済出来高 -4か月後
3.0%+▲1.866%
2.8-3.0%–30%
他2件
439
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
経済出来高 -コメント 14か月後
55,000-60,000▼2.533%
60,000-65,000–27%
他2件
440
USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
経済出来高 -4か月後
150-160▲1.038%
160-170–31%
他2件
441
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?▲3.063%
442
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
経済出来高 -コメント 15か月後
≤1.9%–49%
2.0-2.4%–49%
他2件
443
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
経済出来高 -コメント 26か月後
2.0-2.4%–54%
≤1.9%–47%
他2件
444
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 14か月後
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?–7.00%
445
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
経済出来高 -コメント 13か月後
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?▼1.012%
446
Discord IPO by __?
経済出来高 -4か月後
12月31日–27%
11月30日–20%
他2件
447
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?▲0.511%
448
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Reliance Industries Ltd▲1.085%
Bajaj Finance Ltd▼1.68.40%
他2件
449
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
経済出来高 -1.4年後
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし▼0.564%
<$150B–40%
他2件
450
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
経済出来高 -1か月後
$335K - $340K▼1.034%
$340K - $345K▲0.532%
他2件
451
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?–75%
452
Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap
経済出来高 -1.4年後
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし▲1.047%
<$150B–42%
他2件
453
USMCA extended in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
USMCA extended in 2026?–13%
454
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?–6.00%
455
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
経済出来高 -4か月後
ICE▲0.524%
CBOE▲3.012%
他2件
456
Tarsier Pharma IPO Closing Market Cap
経済出来高 -7日後
No IPO before September 2026–99%
$350M-$400M–0.20%
他2件
457
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
経済出来高 -コメント 84か月後
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?–14%
458
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
$4.00-$4.50–20%
$5.50-$6.00▲1.218%
他2件
459
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?–6.00%
460
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
↓ $5.50▲1.180%
↓ $5.00–77%
他2件
461
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
経済出来高 -コメント 224か月後
2026年12月31日–9.50%
2026年9月30日–1.80%
462
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?–4.00%
463
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?–13%
464
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
$41 trillion–58%
$42 trillion▲0.519%
465
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?▼0.511%
466
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?–6.25%
467
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?
経済出来高 -7日後
↓ $520▼3.522%
↓ $500▼7.46.30%
他2件
468
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in August 2026?
経済出来高 -7日後
↓ $120–2.45%
↓ $90–2.10%
他2件
469
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in August 2026?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑ $1,080▼22.57.50%
↓ $720▼6.63.95%
他2件
470
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
経済出来高 -コメント 64か月後
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?–14%
471
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
経済出来高 -4か月後
2–24%
3–23%
他2件
472
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
経済出来高 -1か月後
$1.00-$1.25–69%
$0.75-$1.00–22%
他2件
473
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 26日後
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?–1.90%
474
Bloomberg IPO by...?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
2027年12月31日–47%
2027年6月30日▲3.541%
他2件
475
Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
経済出来高 -コメント 1
Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?–2.50%
476
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
経済出来高 -5か月後
3▲0.526%
2–20%
他2件
477
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
経済出来高 -6日後
$375▲2.998%
$390▲2.998%
他2件
478
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of August?
経済出来高 -6日後
$220▲4.598%
$210▲4.098%
他2件
479
Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of August?
経済出来高 -6日後
$300▲4.598%
$290▲4.398%
他2件
480
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of August?
経済出来高 -6日後
$440▲4.298%
$460▲2.998%
他2件
481
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of August?
経済出来高 -6日後
$260▲4.298%
$250▲4.298%
他2件
482
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
経済出来高 -2か月後
0.7-0.9%–35%
1.0-1.2%▼0.535%
他2件
483
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑$900B–63%
↓$850B–45%
他2件
484
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑$8.5B–41%
↓$7.25B–38%
他2件
485
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↓$165B–94%
↑$175B–51%
他2件
486
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑$47.5B–32%
↓$35B▼0.516%
他2件
487
Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑$120B▲21.962%
↑$125B–17%
他2件
488
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by August 31?
経済出来高 -7日後
↑$105B–84%
↓$92.5B▲0.512%
他2件
489
2nd largest private company end of August?
経済出来高 -7日後
OpenAI–96%
Kraken–2.50%
他2件
490
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?▲0.54.65%
491
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
経済出来高 -4か月後
OpenAI acquired before 2027?–4.15%
492
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of September 2026?
経済出来高 -1か月後
$5.50-$6.00T▲26.532%
$6.00T+–22%
他2件
493
Anthropic’s valuation end of August 2026?
経済出来高 -6日後
$1.25-$1.50T–59%
$1.50-$1.75T–36%
他2件
494
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?
経済出来高 -1か月後
$1.25-$1.50T–49%
$750B-$1.00T▼2.540%
他2件
495
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
$2.50-$3.00T▲2.534%
$3.00-$3.50T▼1.026%
他2件
496
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -1か月後
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?▲1.588%
497
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
経済出来高 -コメント 55か月後
Negative GDP growth in 2026?–3.50%
498
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
経済出来高 -コメント 244か月後
2026年12月31日▲2.021%
499
US recession by end of 2027?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
US recession by end of 2027?–36%
500
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
経済出来高 -4か月後
12月31日–7.10%
11月30日–7.00%
他2件
501
August Inflation China - Annual
経済出来高 -15日後
0.5% - 0.6%–39%
0.7% - 0.8%–32%
他2件
502
Core CPI YoY - August 2026
経済出来高 -17日後
2.4%–41%
2.3%▼0.533%
他2件
503
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?▼1.514%
504
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -明日終了
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?–96%
505
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -明日終了
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?–93%
506
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -2日後
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?–94%
507
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -2日後
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?–95%
508
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -2日後
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?–94%
509
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -2日後
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?–86%
510
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?
経済出来高 -
2026年12月31日–83%
2026年9月30日–53%
511
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Alphabet (GOOGL)–38%
Microsoft (MSFT)–38%
他2件
512
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -2日後
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?–93%
513
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -7日後
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?–96%
514
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
NASDAQ▼5.082%
NYSE▲6.013%
他1件
515
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
経済出来高 -2.4年後
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?▲0.572%
516
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?–1.15%
517
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
経済出来高 -1.4年後
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?–4.60%
518
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -8日後
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?–90%
519
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -9日後
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?–76%
520
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?
経済出来高 -9日後
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?–61%
521
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
経済出来高 -2か月後
$1.25-$1.50T▲3.043%
$2.00-$2.25T▲26.229%
他2件
522
Apple (AAPL) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$310-$315▲5.525%
$315-$320▲5.018%
他2件
523
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 24 above___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$430▲4.098%
$420▲3.598%
他2件
524
Google (GOOGL) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$350-$355▲1.018%
$345-$350▼1.018%
他2件
525
Meta (META) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$550-$560▲1.518%
$540-$550▲1.017%
他2件
526
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
<$340▲4.514%
$355-$360▲1.012%
他2件
527
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 24 above___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$335▼2.092%
$340▼4.086%
他2件
528
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
<$195▲10.017%
$205-$210▲4.014%
他2件
529
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 24 above___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$174▼15.060%
$175▼16.556%
他2件
530
Micron (MU) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
<$880▲27.537%
$900-$920▲4.013%
他2件
531
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 24 above___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$900▼35.551%
$910▼38.545%
他2件
532
SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$130-$135▲2.521%
$135-$140▲1.521%
他2件
533
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 24 above___?
経済出来高 -3日後
$110▲8.598%
$105▲8.598%
他2件
534
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?–49%
535
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
536
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
$460–98%
$470–96%
他2件
537
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
$250–96%
$255–92%
他2件
538
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
$335–96%
$340–92%
他2件
539
Meta (META) closes above ___ on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
$530–95%
$540–85%
他2件
540
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
$340–95%
$350–78%
他2件
541
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?–54%
542
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 25?–51%
543
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on August 25?–49%
544
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?
経済出来高 -本日終了
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?–63%
545
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
経済出来高 -4か月後
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?–11%
546
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
経済出来高 -コメント 44か月後
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?–8.50%
547
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
経済出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?–8.50%