Polymarket Economy odds
547 open Polymarket markets in Economy, ordered by how much money traded.
401
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
EconomyVol -in 4 months
<1600.00▲1.045%
1600.00–1699.99–33%
+2 more
402
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 6 months
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?▼0.97.50%
403
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
EconomyVol -Comments 5in 1.3 years
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?–94%
404
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 1.3 years
$800B▼0.583%
$1T▲0.576%
+2 more
405
2nd richest person on December 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 4 months
Larry Page–68%
Sergey Brin▼2.830%
+2 more
406
3rd richest person on December 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 4 months
Sergey Brin–45%
Jeff Bezos–35%
+2 more
407
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
↑ 6.75%–84%
↓ 6.00%–45%
+2 more
408
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 13in 4 months
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?–2.90%
409
Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 6in 4 months
↑ 1.20–37%
↑ 1.22–33%
+2 more
410
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 3in 4 months
↑165–44%
↑170–26%
+2 more
411
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 4 months
↓1200–41%
↓1350▼2.538%
+2 more
412
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 6 months
800–900B▲0.543%
700–800B▲1.029%
+2 more
413
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
EconomyVol -Comments 7in 10 months
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?–6.80%
414
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 6 months
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?–90%
415
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 3in 4 months
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?▼1.032%
416
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
EconomyVol -Comments 6in 4 months
December 31–31%
October 31▼2.58.50%
417
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 3in 4 months
$8.000+▲2.557%
$7.000+▼1.547%
+2 more
418
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
September 30▼1.546%
August 31▼6.020%
+1 more
419
Ben Pasternak jailed?
EconomyVol -Comments 7in 4 months
Ben Pasternak jailed?▼1.43.35%
420
Japan recession in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 7 months
Japan recession in 2026?▼2.023%
421
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 3in 4 months
OPEC dissolves in 2026?–4.50%
422
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
OpenAI–30%
Google–17%
+2 more
423
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 4 months
JetBlue▼0.98.20%
Frontier Airlines–7.00%
+2 more
424
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?–13%
425
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 4 months
Mint–52%
Cucumber–52%
+2 more
426
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?▼0.582%
427
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?▼2.014%
428
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?–8.50%
429
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?–39%
430
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?–16%
431
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027▼1.052%
June 30, 2027▼1.551%
+1 more
432
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
EconomyVol -Comments 4in 1.3 years
$OAI▲4.569%
$OPAI▼6.016%
+2 more
433
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
EconomyVol -in 1.3 years
$40B–$50B▼1.134%
<$30B▼1.133%
+2 more
434
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 1.4 years
Goldman Sachs▼3.062%
Morgan Stanley▲0.528%
+2 more
435
Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
↑5.5–53%
↓4.25–49%
+2 more
436
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 3in 4 months
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?–5.20%
437
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?▲2.075%
438
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
EconomyVol -in 4 months
3.0%+▲1.866%
2.8-3.0%–30%
+2 more
439
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 4 months
55,000-60,000▼2.533%
60,000-65,000–27%
+2 more
440
USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
EconomyVol -in 4 months
150-160▲1.038%
160-170–31%
+2 more
441
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?▲3.063%
442
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 5 months
≤1.9%–49%
2.0-2.4%–49%
+2 more
443
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 6 months
2.0-2.4%–54%
≤1.9%–47%
+2 more
444
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 4 months
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?–7.00%
445
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
EconomyVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?▼1.012%
446
Discord IPO by __?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
December 31–27%
November 30–20%
+2 more
447
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?▲0.511%
448
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Reliance Industries Ltd▲1.085%
Bajaj Finance Ltd▼1.68.40%
+2 more
449
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
No IPO by December 31, 2027▼0.564%
<$150B–40%
+2 more
450
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
$335K - $340K▼1.034%
$340K - $345K▲0.532%
+2 more
451
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?–75%
452
Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
No IPO by December 31, 2027▲1.047%
<$150B–42%
+2 more
453
USMCA extended in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
USMCA extended in 2026?–13%
454
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?–6.00%
455
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
ICE▲0.524%
CBOE▲3.012%
+2 more
456
Tarsier Pharma IPO Closing Market Cap
EconomyVol -in 7 days
No IPO before September 2026–99%
$350M-$400M–0.20%
+2 more
457
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
EconomyVol -Comments 8in 4 months
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?–14%
458
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
$4.00-$4.50–20%
$5.50-$6.00▲1.218%
+2 more
459
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?–6.00%
460
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
↓ $5.50▲1.180%
↓ $5.00–77%
+2 more
461
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
EconomyVol -Comments 22in 4 months
December 31, 2026–9.50%
September 30, 2026–1.80%
462
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?–4.00%
463
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?–13%
464
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
$41 trillion–58%
$42 trillion▲0.519%
465
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?▼0.511%
466
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?–6.25%
467
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↓ $520▼3.522%
↓ $500▼7.46.30%
+2 more
468
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in August 2026?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↓ $120–2.45%
↓ $90–2.10%
+2 more
469
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in August 2026?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑ $1,080▼22.57.50%
↓ $720▼6.63.95%
+2 more
470
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
EconomyVol -Comments 6in 4 months
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?–14%
471
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
2–24%
3–23%
+2 more
472
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
$1.00-$1.25–69%
$0.75-$1.00–22%
+2 more
473
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 6 days
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?–1.90%
474
Bloomberg IPO by...?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027–47%
June 30, 2027▲3.541%
+2 more
475
Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
EconomyVol -Comments 1
Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?–2.50%
476
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
EconomyVol -in 5 months
3▲0.526%
2–20%
+2 more
477
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$375▲2.998%
$390▲2.998%
+2 more
478
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of August?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$220▲4.598%
$210▲4.098%
+2 more
479
Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of August?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$300▲4.598%
$290▲4.398%
+2 more
480
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of August?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$440▲4.298%
$460▲2.998%
+2 more
481
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of August?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$260▲4.298%
$250▲4.298%
+2 more
482
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
EconomyVol -in 2 months
0.7-0.9%–35%
1.0-1.2%▼0.535%
+2 more
483
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑$900B–63%
↓$850B–45%
+2 more
484
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑$8.5B–41%
↓$7.25B–38%
+2 more
485
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↓$165B–94%
↑$175B–51%
+2 more
486
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑$47.5B–32%
↓$35B▼0.516%
+2 more
487
Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑$120B▲21.962%
↑$125B–17%
+2 more
488
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by August 31?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
↑$105B–84%
↓$92.5B▲0.512%
+2 more
489
2nd largest private company end of August?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
OpenAI–96%
Kraken–2.50%
+2 more
490
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?▲0.54.65%
491
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
OpenAI acquired before 2027?–4.15%
492
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of September 2026?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
$5.50-$6.00T▲26.532%
$6.00T+–22%
+2 more
493
Anthropic’s valuation end of August 2026?
EconomyVol -in 6 days
$1.25-$1.50T–59%
$1.50-$1.75T–36%
+2 more
494
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
$1.25-$1.50T–49%
$750B-$1.00T▼2.540%
+2 more
495
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
$2.50-$3.00T▲2.534%
$3.00-$3.50T▼1.026%
+2 more
496
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 1 months
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?▲1.588%
497
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
EconomyVol -Comments 5in 5 months
Negative GDP growth in 2026?–3.50%
498
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
EconomyVol -Comments 24in 4 months
December 31, 2026▲2.021%
499
US recession by end of 2027?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
US recession by end of 2027?–36%
500
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
December 31–7.10%
November 30–7.00%
+2 more
501
August Inflation China - Annual
EconomyVol -in 15 days
0.5% - 0.6%–39%
0.7% - 0.8%–32%
+2 more
502
Core CPI YoY - August 2026
EconomyVol -in 17 days
2.4%–41%
2.3%▼0.533%
+2 more
503
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?▼1.514%
504
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -Closes tomorrow
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?–96%
505
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -Closes tomorrow
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?–93%
506
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 2 days
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?–94%
507
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 2 days
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?–95%
508
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 2 days
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?–94%
509
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 2 days
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?–86%
510
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?
EconomyVol -
December 31, 2026–83%
September 30, 2026–53%
511
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Alphabet (GOOGL)–38%
Microsoft (MSFT)–38%
+2 more
512
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 2 days
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?–93%
513
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 7 days
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?–96%
514
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
NASDAQ▼5.082%
NYSE▲6.013%
+1 more
515
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
EconomyVol -in 2.4 years
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?▲0.572%
516
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?–1.15%
517
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
EconomyVol -in 1.4 years
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?–4.60%
518
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 8 days
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?–90%
519
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 9 days
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?–76%
520
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?
EconomyVol -in 9 days
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?–61%
521
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
EconomyVol -in 2 months
$1.25-$1.50T▲3.043%
$2.00-$2.25T▲26.229%
+2 more
522
Apple (AAPL) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$310-$315▲5.525%
$315-$320▲5.018%
+2 more
523
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 24 above___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$430▲4.098%
$420▲3.598%
+2 more
524
Google (GOOGL) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$350-$355▲1.018%
$345-$350▼1.018%
+2 more
525
Meta (META) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$550-$560▲1.518%
$540-$550▲1.017%
+2 more
526
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
<$340▲4.514%
$355-$360▲1.012%
+2 more
527
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 24 above___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$335▼2.092%
$340▼4.086%
+2 more
528
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
<$195▲10.017%
$205-$210▲4.014%
+2 more
529
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 24 above___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$174▼15.060%
$175▼16.556%
+2 more
530
Micron (MU) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
<$880▲27.537%
$900-$920▲4.013%
+2 more
531
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 24 above___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$900▼35.551%
$910▼38.545%
+2 more
532
SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$130-$135▲2.521%
$135-$140▲1.521%
+2 more
533
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 24 above___?
EconomyVol -in 3 days
$110▲8.598%
$105▲8.598%
+2 more
534
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?–49%
535
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
536
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
$460–98%
$470–96%
+2 more
537
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
$250–96%
$255–92%
+2 more
538
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
$335–96%
$340–92%
+2 more
539
Meta (META) closes above ___ on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
$530–95%
$540–85%
+2 more
540
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
$340–95%
$350–78%
+2 more
541
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?–54%
542
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 25?–51%
543
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on August 25?–49%
544
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?
EconomyVol -Closes today
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?–63%
545
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
EconomyVol -in 4 months
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?–11%
546
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
EconomyVol -Comments 4in 4 months
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?–8.50%
547
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
EconomyVol -Comments 2in 4 months
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?–8.50%