#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?

Polymarket traders put "Muse from Meta" at 41.5% on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?". $304 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 21.

Most likely right now
Muse from Meta
–42%
TechVol $304Total volume $304Liquidity $452in 6 days (Nov 21)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Muse from Meta
41.5%
–
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
16.0%
–
ChatGPT
5.00%
–
Claude by Anthropic
1.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.