Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 77.5% on "Which company has the best AI model end of November?". $2.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Anthropic
78%
TechVol $2.9KTotal volume $2.9KLiquidity $22Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Anthropic
77.5%
Google
10.5%
OpenAI
7.00%
StepFun
5.95%
ByteDance
5.35%
Mistral
5.30%
SpaceXAI
5.25%
Moonshot
5.15%
Alibaba
5.10%
Baidu
5.10%
Z.ai
3.65%
Amazon
3.65%
MiniMax
3.55%
Tencent
3.50%
Nvidia
3.45%
DeepSeek
3.15%
Meituan
2.55%
Meta
0.60%
Xiaomi
0.55%
Thinky
0.55%
Microsoft
0.55%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.