#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?

Polymarket traders put "Muse from Meta" at 55.5% on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?". Up 42.0%p from yesterday. $122 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 2.

Most likely right now
Muse from Meta
▲42.056%
TechVol $122Total volume $122Liquidity $824in 6 days (Oct 2)
Current probability

Sep 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Muse from Meta
55.5%
▲42.0
Google Gemini
35.9%
▲31.9
Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker
21.5%
▼3.5
ChatGPT
20.0%
▼5.0
StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV
10.5%
▼2.5
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
3.05%
▼1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.