Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Polymarket traders put "45%+" at 92.7% on "Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?". Unchanged from yesterday. $17 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
45%+
–93%
TechVol $17Total volume $109KLiquidity $3.2Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
45%+
92.7%
–
50%+
89.4%
▲1.7
55%+
26.5%
▲0.5
60%+
4.85%
–
Probability over time
45%+
50%+
55%+
60%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
