#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

Polymarket traders put "Claude by Anthropic" at 12.8% on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?". $30 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
Claude by Anthropic
–13%
TechVol $30Total volume $30Liquidity $246in 6 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Claude by Anthropic
12.8%
–
Google Gemini
12.6%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.