Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–86%
TechVol $2.6KTotal volume $44KLiquidity $282Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
85.5%
–
OpenAI
5.70%
▲0.5
Google
4.20%
–
SpaceXAI
2.60%
–
Meta
1.35%
–
Z.ai
1.25%
▲0.5
Alibaba
0.50%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
Moonshot
0.30%
–
Amazon
0.25%
–
ByteDance
0.25%
–
Meituan
0.20%
–
Baidu
0.15%
–
Nvidia
0.15%
–
Xiaomi
0.05%
–
Thinky
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
