2nd largest private company end of August?

Polymarket traders put "OpenAI" at 96.1% on "2nd largest private company end of August?". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 1.

Most likely right now
OpenAI
96%
EconomyVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $3.0Kin 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
OpenAI
96.1%
Kraken
2.50%
Neuralink
2.05%
Anthropic
1.25%
Stripe
0.55%
2.0
Canva
0.50%
Perplexity
0.50%
Anduril
0.35%
Databricks
0.15%
Epic Games
0.15%
Lambda
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.