Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?" at 17.5%. Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $45K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
▼1.018%
EconomyVol $45KTotal volume $14.5MLiquidity $616Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
17.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
